Amazon Warns Coronavirus Expenses Could Make It Post First Quarterly Loss in Five Years

Amazon on Thursday said it could post its first quarterly loss in five years even as revenue surges because it is spending at least $4 billion (roughly Rs. 30,100 crores) in response to the coronavirus pandemic, including plans to test its workforce for COVID-19.

Shares of Amazon, the world's largest online retailer, fell 5 percent in after-hours trade.

Jeff Bezos, the company's founder and world's richest person, said in a statement, "we're not thinking small," a sign that the e-commerce company would invest heavily during the pandemic. Rival brick-and-mortar retailers have had to shut stores while Amazon hired 175,000 people.

This quarter, with government-mandated lockdowns in full swing, Amazon said it could see a 28 percent rise in revenue to $81 billion (roughly Rs. 6.10 lakh crores).

Under normal circumstances, Amazon would earn an operating profit of at least $4 billion (roughly Rs. 30,100 crores) in the current second quarter, but its costs will rise by that amount or more so it can respond to the pandemic, the company said. The Seattle retailer forecast operating income will range from a loss of $1.5 billion (roughly Rs. 11,300 crores) to a profit of $1.5 billion (roughly Rs. 11,300 crores), versus earnings of $3.1 billion (roughly Rs. 23,400 crores) in the same period a year prior.

Amazon has unsettled investors in the past with heavy spending on cloud data centers, streaming video, and voice-controlled gadgets, which often paid off in the form of new businesses. Since mid-February, Amazon's shares have risen by more than 10 percent including Thursday's after-hours drop, while the broader stock market has sunk.

Bezos' personal stake alone has grown by some $5 billion (roughly Rs. 37,800 crores) in that time.

The company is increasing investments because of the novel coronavirus in a similar way, said Kim Khan, US markets analyst at Investing.com.

"Amazon built its commanding position by spending all its cash to grow before it became the profit-making machine it is today. It's doing the same thing during this lockdown period and will likely come out a winner again," Khan said.

At the same time, Amazon is facing new labor risks. The virus has infected workers at dozens of locations, igniting small protests and prompting labor organisers to demand site closures. Amazon has rolled out masks and temperature checks to all its US and European warehouses, announced software to monitor for social distancing and taken other measures to ensure it stays operational.

Boon to grocery, 'mixed bag' for ads
Revenue for the first quarter rose 26 percent to $75.5 billion (roughly Rs. 5.69 lakh crores), beating analysts' average estimate of $73.6 billion (roughly Rs. 5.55 lakh crores) according to IBES data from Refinitiv.

Grocery sales in March were a bright spot for Amazon, which owns Whole Foods Market, Chief Financial Officer Brian Olsavsky said on a call with analysts. Household staples and home office supplies have been in high demand, while interest in discretionary items like apparel dipped, he said.

Last month, the number of people who streamed video on Amazon for the first time nearly doubled, Olsavsky said. Subscription revenue grew 28 percent to $5.6 billion (roughly Rs. 43,300 crores) in the first quarter.

Still, advertising, a lucrative business in which merchants pay for top placement of their goods on Amazon, was somewhat of a "mixed bag," Olsavsky said.

Merchants had less reason to sponsor products in March when the company paused accepting non-essential items into warehouses for delivery. Some pulled back on placing ads, the price of which went down; however, strong traffic to Amazon's websites helped offset the trend, Olsavsky said.

Advertising and other revenue was up 44 percent in the first quarter to $3.9 billion (roughly Rs. 29,400 crores).

Amazon Web Services (AWS), the company's cloud computing unit, also is seeing demand vary by industry. Hospitality and travel customers quickly and severely cut their spend. Remote education and entertainment services had much higher AWS usage, and overall, revenue increased 33 percent to $10.2 billion (roughly Rs. 76,900 crores), short of analysts' estimate of $10.3 billion (roughly Rs. 77,600 crores).

In the midst of the change, Amazon expects to spend $300 million (roughly Rs. 2,200 crores) in the second quarter to develop the capability to test staff for the virus, Olsavsky said. That could approach $1 billion (roughly Rs. 7,500 crores) for the full year if the early effort is successful, with the goal of "making testing widely available," he told reporters earlier on Thursday.

Meanwhile, social distancing at worksites has made Amazon less efficient, and warehousing challenges have taken a toll on a year-long effort to halve delivery times to one day for Prime members, Olsavsky said.

Total operating expenses rose 29 percent in the first quarter to $71.5 billion (roughly Rs. 5.41 lakh crores).

Internationally, the pandemic has hit Amazon the hardest in India, where the company has had to forgo sales to comply with the government restricting delivery to essential goods such as groceries, Olsavsky said.

© Thomson Reuters 2020

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