Opinion

Why I Am Bullish on Terra for 2022

Terra is the second-largest Decentralised Finance (DeFi) blockchain with 26 active DeFi protocols.

By Rohas Nagpal | Updated: 4 April 2022 10:00 IST

The price of Terra Stablecoins is maintained by the Terra algorithmic market module

With popular cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ether swiveling in value over the past few months, many people are looking at so-called stablecoins like Terra to invest in because of their more predictable prices. By definition, Terra is open-source blockchain payment platform like any other, but to maintain equilibrium of its stablecoins, Terra mints and burns tokens. As of April 1, the Terra (LUNA) price is at $100 (roughly Rs. 7,595) and its market cap is just over $35 billion (roughly Rs. 2,65,850 crore).

I am bullish on Terra (LUNA) for 2022, read on to find out why.

Introduction to Terra

Terra is an open-source public blockchain protocol for algorithmic stablecoins. It enables the creation of fiat-pegged stablecoins that can be spent, saved, traded, or exchanged on the Terra blockchain.

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Terra offers stablecoins pegged to:

US Dollar (USD)
Chinese Yuan (CNY)
Japanese Yen (JPY)
British Pound Sterling (GBP)
South Korean Won (KRW)
Euro (EUR)
IMF's Special Drawing Rights (SDR)

Terra's native token, LUNA, is used to stabilise the price of Terra stablecoins. LUNA is also a governance token as it enables holders to submit and vote on governance proposals.

The Terra economy has two pools — one for Terra stablecoins and one for LUNA.

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The price of Terra stablecoins is maintained by the Terra algorithmic market module through Expansion and Contraction.

Expansion

When the price of a Terra stablecoin is high in comparison to the pegged fiat currency it means that the supply is too low and the demand is too high. At this stage, the protocol incentivises the burning of LUNA to mint Terra Stablecoins. This minting increases the supply of Terra stablecoins and balances the supply with the demand.

Users keep minting Terra stablecoins till the stablecoin reaches its target price.

Contraction

When the price of a Terra stablecoin is low in comparison to the pegged fiat currency, it means that the supply is too high and the demand is too low. At this stage, the protocol incentivises the burning of Terra stablecoins to mint LUNA. This minting decreases the supply of Terra stablecoins and balances the supply with the demand.

Users keep burning Terra stablecoins till the stablecoin reaches its target price.

Terra as a DeFi Blockchain

Terra is the second-largest decentralised finance (DeFi) blockchain with 26 active DeFi protocols and a Total Value Locked (TVL) of just over $29 billion (roughly Rs. 2,20,295 crore). The most important DeFi protocols that run on Terra are:

Anchor (ANC) with a TVL of almost $15 billion (roughly Rs. 1,13,955 crore)
Lido (LDO) with a TVL of just over $8 billion (roughly Rs. 60,775 crore)

Terra (LUNA) valuation

Let's value Terra (LUNA) as a DeFi blockchain.

The relevant metrics are:

Total Value Locked (TVL): $28.15 billion (roughly Rs. 2,13,850 crore)
Circulating Supply (CS): 354,399,415

The valuations are:

Scenario	Formula	Projected Price
Bearish	(TVL * 1) / CS	$79 (roughly Rs. 6,000)
Neutral	(TVL * 3) / CS	$238 (roughly Rs. 18,080)
Bullish	(TVL * 4) / CS	$318 (roughly Rs. 24,155)

Rohas Nagpal is the author of the Future Money Playbook and Chief Blockchain Architect at the Wrapped Asset Project. He is also an amateur boxer and a retired hacker. You can follow him on LinkedIn.

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